Forecast Verification

Our project started in 2010 and since the beginning our forecasts have been compared to site observations in order to Forecastsevaluate and monitor the evolution of our model's  forecasts skill.  Many tests have been performed for wind farms with different orographic complexity. 

In order to compare our results and the performance of our forecasting model  we used the standard verification indices available in the literature:


  • Normalized Mean Absolute Error (NMAE)
  • Weighted Mean Absolute Error (WMAE) 
  • Normalized Root Mean Square Error (NRMSE)


 In the table below some skill scores of our tests.



 Schermata 05-2456423 alle 10.11.11


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